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Monday, 28 September 2020

US election polls look good for Joe Biden. But can they be trusted?

After Donald Trump’s surprise victory in 2016, some Democrats are reluctant to believe the numbers

The numbers are looking pretty good for Democrats in Arizona. The party’s Senate candidate is up more than five points in polling averages, and Joe Biden leads Donald Trump by more than three points in the same averages. If those numbers hold, the state could hand Democrats the Senate and Biden the White House in one fell swoop.

But a key Democratic organizer in the state can’t say whether he thinks the numbers will hold – because he does not believe the numbers exist in the first place.

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from The Guardian https://ift.tt/36bRWWE

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