Six million people who voted for Barack Obama in 2012 switched parties to back Donald Trump in 2016. Can the Democrats win them back?
Much has been written about the Democratic party’s surge in support in America’s suburbs, especially among college-educated women. But this will take them only so far. To have any chance of recapturing the Senate or obtaining a strong majority in the House, the Democrats will need to regain support among a very different type of person: the Obama-Trump voter.
President Trump and the Republican party owe their current dominance to this person. Data from the Voter Study Group show that 9% of Obama’s 2012 voters, nearly 6 million people, switched to Trump in 2016.
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